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Presidential Predictions

Presidential Predictions24 presidential Hour Forecast

Further to my previous 48 hours forecast genereically where I covered the basics of a sudden election to Obama, let me be more precise this time. But first, the bias is incredible. CNN polls have Obama talks Anouti up 12%. discussions on the polls Newsmax that McCain closing in. Drudge picks up everything poll shows McCain in his best, he said. If a Zogby poll a day (or night of Halloween) Drudge uses. If all the polls are for Obam Drudge fails polls. Ah, the bias is evident politcla MRE.


Since I have no horse in this race let me OBECTIVELY report :-)


The abnormal a Zogby poll Halloween 24 hours and polls wild and crazy twelve points of CBS, there are still healthy and sound (if the polls are never that Rasmussen) and Zogby poll three days. Let me remind you however that this is not who is 2-12 per cent ahead at the national level. It's all about the electoral college! We choose a pesident not about who wins the most votes, but who gets 270 votes.


I'll give you my final prediction on Tuesday morning, but here are the latest estimates elections.
Obama McCain Toss-Up
Zogby> ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 286 / 174 / 78
> Rasmussen ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. 260 / 160 / 118
> Karl Rove ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .. 311 / 157 / 70
> Dick Morris ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 355 / 133 / 50
> Larry Sabato ... ... ... ... ... ... ... 0364 / 174 /
CNN> ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... ... .... ... 291 / 160 / 87
> Real Clear Politics ... ... ... ... 311 / 132 / 95


Let's Get Real. When six of the seven polls Obam electoal win the necessary 270 votes a week, McCain is in deep do-do. Thus, when Newsmax (publication through the right wing) leads a line says: "John McCain is lagging presidential rival Barack Obama by just two points heading into Election Day, according to a new tracking survey released Sunday by Group Investors Business Daily ", you know is HYPE! Hope! Wishful thinking!


And Drudge TIPP poll said, "The close race again on Sunday as independents who had been seconded to Barack Obama McCain moved to leave this key, a coin toss. McCain has also pulled even in the Midwest, returned to head with men, inflated its earnings among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates. "Wow, it looks like Obama is toast!


Twenty-four hours, I do not think :-)

Posted on March 29, 2010.
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